Week 17 NFL Picks

We are finally at the last week of the NFL Season. On Monday, there will be no more Lions and Rams losing, and the debates will start up over who will win which games in the first round of the playoffs. But that is Monday, and each team will get to say that they got to play in December so lets finish the season strong. Home teams in CAPS.

Colts (-2.5) over BILLS
The Colts will likely be resting most of their starters, but no matter how bad of players you have, it’s still really hard to lose to the Bills.

Jaguars (+1.5) over BROWNS
Okay, so the Browns may have won three straight games, Jerome Harrison is running like a young Jamal Lewis, and Eric Mangini is fighting to save his job, but what does that really mean if you beat a reeling Steelers team, the Chiefs, and Raiders? Not much. Add on to that the fact that the Jags need to win to make the playoffs and potentially not move to LA (against Mo-Jo Drew’s hopes), I’ll take the Jags here. You know that Vegas is giving you points against the Browns, right?

Bears (-3.5) over LIONS
Did the linesmakers not watch the Bears show up the Vikings last Monday night? Do they not know that Lovie Smith needs a win here to save his job? Do they know that Jay Cutler needs to finish the year strong to appease the ferocious Bears fans? With those motivations, I’ll take the Bears over the Lions.

49ers (-7.5) over RAMS
In big games, teams need to come up clutch. This is the most important game of the year for the Rams…lose and they clinch the right to draft Ndamukong Suh. Win and the Lions will likely draft the behemoth Defensive Tackle. I think the Rams will come through in this clutch situation.

Steelers (-2.5) over DOLPHINS
Both teams need to win to get in to the playoffs. Both teams are in an off year. But one team is the defending champs. I’ll take them and Big Ben, who is becoming as clutch as any quarterback in the NFL.

VIKINGS (-8.5) over Giants
If there is one thing a playoff-bound team cannot do, it is go into the playoffs on a prolonged cold streak. The Vikings have lost 3 of the last 4 and have a Head Coach who has lost his power to hit quarterback. Not the recipe for success. How do they fix it? Win big at home to keep alive a chance to get a first-round bye. The Vikings need this game big time, and the Giants are in no position to stop them.

Falcons (-2.5) over BUCCANEERS
The Falcons have the biggest game of the week for any team who doesn’t have a chance to go to the playoffs. They are currently 8-7 and have never had back-to-back winning seasons in their 43 years of existence. With a chance to break that terrible streak, there is no way I see them letting this chance slip away, especially against the Bucs.

PANTHERS (-2.5) over Saints
The Saints are going to rest Drew Brees, Darren Sharper, and Pierre Thomas, so it’s pretty obvious that they are not going all in to finish the year. The Panthers are yet another team with a disappointing year hoping to save face and save their head coach’s job. I’ll take the Panthers at home.

Patriots (+7.5) over TEXANS
How often this decade, or rather last decade, do you have the chance to pick the Patriots and get more then a touchdown, too? Not too often, and I’m going to jump at that opportunity no matter how short (or long) Brady, Moss, and Welker stay in.

Eagles (+2.5) over COWBOYS

Brian Westbrook is the key to the Eagles/Cowboys game
Brian Westbrook is the key to the Philly/Dallas game

With the Saints’ and Vikings’ recent struggles, these two NFC East rivals have a great shot for a deep run in the playoffs, possibly to the Super Bowl. and both teams have a shot at the 2 Seed and a first round bye. With the return of Brian Westbrook, the Eagles look like the team that many picked to win it all to start the year. Last year the Eagles embarrassed the Cowboys 44-6, and I don’t expect that big of a margin of victory, but an Eagles victory no less.

CARDINALS (-3.5) over Packers
The entire nation seems to be sweeped up in the Packers’ great record, but I still think they are a fraud. They feast off bad teams and can’t beat the good ones. The Cardinals are a fairly good team, and a great team at home.

CHARGERS (-4.5) over Redskins
The Chargers are far and away better then the Redskins, but they have nothing to play for. But in the end they are playing the ‘Skins, so this shouldn’t be to hard of a game to win. This is the Lock of the Week.

SEAHAWKS (+4.5) over Titans
Last week, the Seahawks were demolished by the Packers last week, and couldn’t do anything to prove they could put up a fight. I started off wanting to pick them since I was getting that many points, but the more I thought about it, the more I realized that Seattle is really just a bad, bad team. The Titans are just okay, and we all know that okay trumps bad.

Ravens (-10.5) over RAIDERS
The Raiders have been a fantastic giant killer this year, but that has been because teams just don’t take them seriously. The Ravens won’t be taking any team lightly when they can clinch a Wild Card spot with a win. Joe Flacco needs to prove he won’t fall back into (or stay in) his Sophomore Slump, and the defense need to prove they still have their same speed and power.

Chiefs (+12.5) over BRONCOS
The Broncos have been one of the Top-5 strangest teams of the year. They started off the year 6-0 and everyone doubted them. Then people joined their bandwagon and they lost four straight. Then they won two. Now, they’ve lost three. What does this mean? This means that Josh McDaniels need to prove he knows what he’s doing by benching Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler with everything on the line and win the game, which they will, just by less then two touchdowns.

BENGALS (+9.5) over Jets
If the Jets win, they’re in the playoffs. The ironic part is that they will likely be playing the Bengals in Cincinnati, again. The Jets are a far easier team to beat then the Steelers and even the Dolphins and Texans, so why not lose this game and beat them when all your stars are trying their hardest and you have more tape? The only reason I’m going with the Bengals is because Chad Ochocinco said that he will not be shut down Darrelle Revis, who has shut down star wideouts Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, Terrell Owens, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White, Steve Smith, and Marques Colston, just to name seven.

Season: 122-104

Last Week: 11-5

Lock of the Week: 8-7

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