After a week off, my record rocketed up to three games under. Maybe I should take more columns off….. Home teams in CAPS…
Patriots (-6.5) over LIONS
This is TFB we’re talking about! The Lions don’t even win on Thanksgiving! Let’s not get carried away and give too much credit to the Lions here. This is easily the Bojangles’ Gravy n’ Biscuits Lock o’ the Week.
Saints (-3.5) over COWBOYS
I’m about ready to hop off the Cowboys bandwagon. Jason Garrett did a nice job of changing the culture of the locker room, but become the tough cop won’t help you beat the Saints.
JETS (-9.5) over Bengals
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: Carson Palmer is a turrible quarterback. T-R-B-L turrrrrrible.
FALCONS (-2.5) over Packers
Matt Ryan does not lose at home. Matty Ice is an astounding 18-1 in the Georgia Dome, and that’s no fluke. The Packers are the best team in a week NFC North, but they’re too banged up right now to take down Roddy White, Michael Turner, and the Atlanta Falcons.
Steelers (-6.5) over BILLS
The Bills are one of the four worst teams in the league. Pittsburgh is one of the four best teams in the league. This game isn’t too hard to pick.
Panthers (+10.5) over BROWNS
The Panthers have had a horrible season. Everything that could go wrong has go wrong, outside of trading for Jake Delhomme. But to lose by 11 to Cleveland? That just cannot and will not happen.
GIANTS (-7.5) over Jaguars
My usual train of though in picking games between AFC and NFC teams with equal records is to go with the AFC team. However, the Jaguars are clearly a 3-7 team not a 6-4 team. Plus, they’re missing both starting tackles. I’m not the biggest Giants fan, but I am a big fan of a great deal.
Vikings (+2.5) over REDSKINS
This one was hard. At first, I wanted to go with Minny. Then I thought of what kinda of a hellish mess they are and switched to Washington. Then I remembered Chilly was fired. I’ll take the points, Leslie Frazier, and the gunslinger.
Titans (+6.5) over TEXANS
Randy Moss may not be racking up the yards or catches, but he still commands double teams. Kerry Collins is a very competent quarterback, even at the ripe age of thirty-seven. He’s a big more accurate on deep passes, but doesn’t have the playmaking ability of Vince Young. Collins or VY, I’ll take Jeff Fisher and the points.
SEAHAWKS (+1.5) over Chiefs
The Seahawks and Chiefs are different teams at home. Who’s at home?
RAIDERS (-3.5) over Dolphins
This game is really tough. Taking the points is enticing, but I trust the Raiders more at home than I do Tyler Thigpen in the Black Hole. As a side note, this has to be the first time in nearly half a decade that I’ve had some semblance of faith in Oakland for any game.
Eagles (-3.5) over BEARS
Michael Vick…Jay Cutler……Michael Vick…Jay Cutler……
RAVENS (-7.5) over Bucs
Josh Freeman wins games, but Joe Flacco wins games against quality teams. Tampa Bay can beat up on the Panthers and Rams of the world, but they need to prove that they can go into Baltimore and win before I completely jump on their bandwagon.
BRONCOS (-3.5) over Rams
I can’t come up with anything complementary to say about Denver, but I can come up with more faults for St. Louis. What an awful game!
Chargers (+3.5) over COLTS
Usually, I say not to go against Peyton in primetime. However, you should never pick against Phillip Rivers late in the season. Rivers is 16-5 in November, 18-1 in December, and 2-0 in January. Yeah.
Niners (-1.5) over CARDINALS
Don’t you feel bad for Larry Fitzgerald? Dude runs downfield, gets open, jumps, then realizes that Max Hall/Derek Anderson threw the ball 10 feet over his head. Let’s just hope that Arizona can draft a real quarterback (Ryan Mallett) next April.
Last Week: 12-4
Bojangles Lock o’ the Week: 8-2